There seems little doubt that, in the future, many of us will be using web based applications rather than running software on our own PCs. Indeed, if you are using Webmail, Google Apps, or even Flickr, you are already on the way. The apps are not the problem; the real challenge is to integrate web apps into the desktop and provide offline as well as online access. There are several competing platforms to make this happen and the path forward is not yet clear, but if you want to see what is happening, check out the Prism project at Mozilla Labs. This is exciting stuff.
http://labs.mozilla.com/2007/10/prism/
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